If the price drops soon after someone paid the higher one, give them the difference. It’s cheap, and it protects the customers a price change hurts most.
Price protection means refunding the difference when your price falls within a set window after a purchase. It answers Anderson and Simester’s experiment directly: the customers who stopped buying had just paid more than the new price.
A rise is often followed within weeks by the first sale at the new price. Customers who bought at full price just before it are your most recent, highest-paying customers, the group that punished the retailer hardest in the experiment Published. Protection turns that moment from a grievance into a reason to trust you.
Some large retailers already do this. Best Buy’s policy says that if it lowers its own price during the return and exchange period, “we will match our lower price, upon request” Reported.
Say a brand runs a 20% sale two weeks after a rise, and took 2,000 full-price orders averaging $50 in the 14 days before. If every one of those customers asked, protection would cost $20,000. Fewer will ask, and store credit gets spent with you. The other path is those buyers seeing the sale and ordering less for years, as the catalog customers did.
The customer who paid full price last week is the one your sale email should worry about.
This is one chapter of The Price Rise, which is free and readable in full on a single page with no form in front of it.