Two field experiments with loyalty cards explain more about why customers come back than most loyalty software. People keep going when they can see they’re getting closer.
Loyalty programs are usually sold as a discount with a login. The research behind the ones that work says something more interesting: the reward matters less than the feeling of getting closer to it.
In 2004 Joseph Nunes and Xavier Drèze handed out 300 loyalty cards at a car wash. Every card needed eight purchased washes to earn a free one. Half the cards had eight empty slots. The other half had ten slots, with two already stamped. Same effort, same reward. Only the starting point looked different.
34% of the customers with the pre-stamped card finished it, against 19% with the plain card. They also came back sooner, about three days less between washes on average Published. Nunes and Drèze called it the endowed progress effect: people work harder toward a goal they believe they’ve already started.
People finish what they believe they’ve already started.
In a paper published the same year, Ran Kivetz, Oleg Urminsky and Yuhuang Zheng studied a café reward card that gave a free coffee after ten purchases. Customers bought more often as they got closer to the reward: the gap between visits shrank by about 20% from the first stamp to the last. Customers given a twelve-stamp card with two stamps already filled finished faster than those with a plain ten-stamp card, 12.7 days against 15.6 Published. The goal gradient, an idea psychologists first described in the 1930s, works on coffee drinkers too.
This is one chapter of The Whole Machine, which is free and readable in full on a single page with no form in front of it.